Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.005073 0.005766 0.006559 0.007545 0.008749 0.010191 0.012073
2025-11-30 0.004062 0.004906 0.005962 0.007412 0.009402 0.012124 0.016291
2025-12-07 0.003442 0.004317 0.005475 0.007173 0.009703 0.013524 0.020170
2025-12-14 0.003056 0.003946 0.005176 0.007079 0.010116 0.015119 0.024929
2025-12-21 0.002854 0.003785 0.005126 0.007313 0.011049 0.017795 0.032919
2025-12-28 0.002719 0.003697 0.005159 0.007665 0.012245 0.021337 0.045004
2026-01-04 0.002552 0.003537 0.005055 0.007762 0.012996 0.024279 0.058066
2026-01-11 0.002378 0.003346 0.004875 0.007690 0.013398 0.026615 0.071703
2026-01-18 0.002245 0.003205 0.004757 0.007709 0.013983 0.029640 0.091469
2026-01-25 0.002095 0.003024 0.004552 0.007528 0.014092 0.031483 0.109348
2026-02-01 0.001937 0.002817 0.004282 0.007184 0.013756 0.031948 0.121729
2026-02-08 0.001796 0.002627 0.004026 0.006839 0.013350 0.032077 0.133077
2026-02-15 0.001718 0.002547 0.003971 0.006922 0.014092 0.036543 0.186411
2026-02-22 0.001620 0.002425 0.003831 0.006812 0.014333 0.039574 0.243757
2026-03-01 0.001519 0.002291 0.003655 0.006600 0.014252 0.041406 0.301666
2026-03-08 0.001444 0.002197 0.003544 0.006516 0.014513 0.044887 0.410751
2026-03-15 0.001410 0.002171 0.003562 0.006724 0.015694 0.053608 0.749417
2026-03-22 0.001389 0.002166 0.003619 0.007037 0.017323 0.066756 1.810895
2026-03-29 0.001346 0.002118 0.003586 0.007123 0.018250 0.077413 4.320962
2026-04-05 0.001292 0.002047 0.003498 0.007060 0.018641 0.085304 10.511580
2026-04-12 0.001249 0.001994 0.003444 0.007076 0.019343 0.096985 55.533218
2026-04-19 0.001194 0.001915 0.003330 0.006916 0.019320 0.102819 462.218180
2026-04-26 0.001130 0.001817 0.003167 0.006610 0.018639 0.101842 3642.706866